Brown-Implementation
0xe62412542d8f6abb629c0c567425d8465f1204a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$61.98
Total PnL
$-7.12
Realised
$-11.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Curaçao vs. Aruba end in a draw?
19 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$19.00
$1.52
- NO
IK Start leading at halftime?
16 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$16.00
$1.44
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
13 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$13.00
$1.04
- NO
Will Drogheda United FC win on 2026-06-12?
12 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$12.00
$1.08
- NO
Will San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
2 shares @ 92.4¢·now 98.5¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$1.97
$0.12
- YES
Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
21 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.01
$-0.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Drogheda United FC win on 2026-06-12?$10.95Jun 12, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao vs. Aruba end in a draw?$17.52Jun 6, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$12.01May 25, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIK Start leading at halftime?$14.60May 20, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Miguel Roca win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?$0.00May 20, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00May 20, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: RCD Mallorca (-2.5)$17.00May 20, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: RCD Mallorca (-2.5)$15.84May 10, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.6KMar 17, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$217.35Mar 17, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.4KMar 17, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.11Mar 17, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$63.88Mar 17, 11:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$6.91Mar 17, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$37.92Mar 17, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.08Mar 17, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$38.88Mar 17, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?$1.6KMar 17, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?$1.6KMar 17, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?$76.56Mar 17, 10:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $421.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 08:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 11:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.