Untidy-Overshoot
0xe6284f094e57e15d07c96f9eff9eda01f546e50c
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$70.18
Total PnL
$-9.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
278 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$48.61
$-1.39
- YES
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.35
$-0.65
- YES
Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?
13 shares @ 23.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.89
$-1.11
- YES
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?
12 shares @ 24.4¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.60
$-1.40
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- YES
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.11
$-0.89
- YES
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by May 31, 2026?
51 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Obama$1.03May 31, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?$1.06May 31, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYAny country withdraws from EU before 2027?$1.00May 31, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros Juniors, Girls: Alyssa James vs Capucine Pradenne$1.03May 31, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in the US in May?$1.05May 31, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift have a #1 hit in the US in May?$1.05May 31, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by May 31, 2026?$1.04May 31, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?$5.00May 31, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?$1.06May 31, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - May 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$0.00May 31, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$0.00May 31, 22:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$8.82May 31, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$5.15May 31, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.03May 31, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump's face on US gold coin by July 4?$1.03May 31, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine Peace Parlay$1.00May 31, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?$1.04May 31, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMajor volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?$1.04May 31, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?$2.00May 31, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?$3.09May 31, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $4.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 23:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 22:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".