Dim-Muskrat
0xe657485228dae6a72f7203f05d53ed6c8b87134c
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$147.57
Total PnL
$-350.07
Realised
$-20.70
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
108 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$107.94
$37.78
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
144 shares @ 34.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.63
$-9.37
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
220 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-29.04
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
121 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-99.46
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
53 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
50 shares @ 88.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-44.30
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
30 shares @ 66.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-19.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
30 shares @ 88.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-26.21
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 28?
24 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
4 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $35.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.