Knowledgeable-Leaver
0xe68ca3f965d7bf34f8473403d26d066912a3779d
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
76
Open notional
$82.65
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$-10.57
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 76- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
100 shares @ 67.5¢·now 82.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$82.65
$15.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 1?
584 shares @ 96.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-562.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 30?
351 shares @ 64.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-225.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 23?
200 shares @ 95.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-191.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on March 30?
193 shares @ 95.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-183.75
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 9?
172 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-163.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 29?
171 shares @ 56.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-97.51
- BAYERN MÜNCHEN
Spread: Bayern München (-1.5)
163 shares @ 61.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 24?
156 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-79.60
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on April 6?
144 shares @ 78.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-113.87
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C or higher on April 24?$28.92May 30, 14:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 24?$32.93May 30, 14:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on April 24?$395.78Apr 24, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C or higher on April 24?$9.35Apr 23, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C or higher on April 24?$15.34Apr 23, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 24?$31.65Apr 22, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on April 24?$387.88Apr 22, 16:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 22?$95.19Apr 22, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on April 21?$99.85Apr 22, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 22?$563.50Apr 22, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 22?$428.56Apr 20, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 22?$129.46Apr 20, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 22?$92.38Apr 20, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?$49.53Apr 20, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill AC Milan win on 2026-04-19?$50.00Apr 20, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on April 21?$97.00Apr 20, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AC Milan win on 2026-04-19?$36.34Apr 19, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AC Milan win on 2026-04-19?$4.56Apr 19, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AC Milan win on 2026-04-19?$0.10Apr 19, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?$34.50Apr 19, 13:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $104.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 02:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 14:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".