Third-Row
0xe690cf83482cc2e21937f5d52205fb93b3ef0f70
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
75
Open notional
$410.02
Total PnL
$-5.0K
Realised
$-23.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
4392 shares @ 16.1¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$241.54
$-465.45
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 16?
146 shares @ 57.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$146.21
$62.01
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
755 shares @ 13.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$22.27
$-75.87
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
1165 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
600 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 31?
583 shares @ 51.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 3, 6AM ET
424 shares @ 46.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-195.99
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 6PM ET
422 shares @ 30.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-127.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 4AM ET
344 shares @ 53.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-183.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7AM ET
317 shares @ 47.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 16?$32.20Jul 10, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 16?$34.20Jul 10, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 16?$1.40Jul 10, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 16?$31.49Jul 10, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 16?$51.47Jul 10, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$20.40Jul 9, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$30.58Jul 8, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 8?$74.23Jul 3, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 8?$62.56Jul 2, 10:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 5?$34.84May 31, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 5?$21.95May 31, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 5?$31.60May 30, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 30?$50.54May 27, 04:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 30?$88.75May 27, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 30?$198.00May 26, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 30?$31.53May 26, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 30?$157.66May 26, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 30?$36.42May 26, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$101.56May 9, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$31.17May 9, 00:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $51.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 23:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 12:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.