Perfect-Copy
0xe6a02b4fab3064db33c61736fc87cc938f7b73f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-100.33
Realised
$66.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
351 shares @ 40.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-143.52
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?
121 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?
48 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?
23 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Caroline Ellison sentenced to 48-59 months in prison?
18 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2024$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$53.51Nov 5, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$90.01Nov 4, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?$17.00Nov 4, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by September 30?$10.00Sep 29, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel invade Lebanon in September?$14.01Sep 29, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel invade Lebanon in September?$10.00Sep 25, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by September 30?$10.00Sep 25, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by September 30?$3.06Sep 24, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit Springfield in September?$11.60Sep 24, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLFavorite to win on Polymarket day before election?$19.83Sep 24, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump fires campaign manager? $5.81Sep 24, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLHouse control after 2024 election?$3.89Sep 19, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be a US Government shutdown? $3.00Sep 19, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?$3.75Sep 19, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?$4.02Sep 19, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELL2 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?$5.91Sep 19, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Democrat win Montana US Senate Election?$2.78Sep 19, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republicans have 49 or fewer seats in Senate after election?$1.85Sep 19, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?$1.43Sep 19, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFavorite to win on Polymarket day before election?$10.00Sep 19, 19:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $15.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 18, 17:38 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 11:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.