Dutiful-Blouse
0xe6b33b2940c0bb0637e7375449be49db7c6f95d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$96.36
Total PnL
$-7.32
Realised
$-0.58
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
74 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$74.45
$1.34
- NO
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?
5 shares @ 96.1¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$5.05
$0.05
- NO
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?
5 shares @ 94.7¢·now 92.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$4.87
$-0.13
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
8 shares @ 78.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$3.65
$-2.35
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$3.45
$-1.55
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
8 shares @ 75.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$3.00
$-3.00
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
6 shares @ 53.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.90
$-1.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$73.11Apr 23, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$73.12Apr 23, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$73.41Apr 23, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$73.41Apr 23, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$73.69Apr 23, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYGRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?$5.00Apr 23, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYGRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?$5.00Apr 23, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$16.68Apr 17, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$10.00Mar 29, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLEdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?$10.70Mar 29, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLEdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.14Mar 29, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.00Mar 25, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$5.00Mar 25, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?$6.00Mar 25, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?$6.00Mar 25, 05:03 UTC
- REDEEMBackpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?$6.25Mar 25, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$76.92Mar 15, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$72.00Mar 15, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$5.00Mar 15, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?$3.00Mar 15, 04:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $28.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 04:23 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 10:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.