Likable-Brood
0xe6b741f0e35345229ee09213970f7e9144834cd7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-99.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $74,000 on February 6?
1786 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 25?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on February 13?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 20?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 28?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 25?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 25?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.25Jul 20, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. England: Team to Win$14.71Jul 18, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First Half AND France vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second Half$0.99Jul 18, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$4.13Jul 18, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$4.07Jul 18, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$1.03Jul 18, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$1.03Jul 18, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?$2.01Jun 26, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$10.07Jun 26, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 26, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jun 26, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Senegal end in a draw?$1.02Jun 16, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$0.00May 20, 03:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$1.34May 20, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$1.00Mar 10, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$1.00Mar 10, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$1.25Mar 10, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Independiente Medellín vs. CA Bucaramanga end in a draw?$1.00Feb 28, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alianza FC vs. América de Cali end in a draw?$1.00Feb 28, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 28?$1.00Feb 28, 04:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 04:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 01:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.