Knotty-Experimentation
0xe6bcb38e26b6a79f0eea34f475cc7d9bb2a26b09
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$1.77
Total PnL
$-314.71
Realised
$80.18
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Italy replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
505 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.77
$-11.23
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
5600 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-101.99
- NO
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Lock In" during his next video?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?
591 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Lee Jin-sook win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
320 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
260 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C or higher on April 6?
249 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.80
- NO
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?
241 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Italy replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.06May 29, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.09May 29, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.09May 29, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.06May 26, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 26, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 26, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 26, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$5.05May 26, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$8.20May 26, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$5.14May 18, 01:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$2.26May 18, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$5.00May 18, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$25.85May 18, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$5.34May 18, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$1.69May 18, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$8.06May 18, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$5.24May 18, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$5.34May 18, 00:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$5.38May 18, 00:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$12.27May 18, 00:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $5.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 22:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 23:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.