Long-Term-Wastebasket
0xe6d6287af91d23768d69641f9ae7aa1e840358f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
91
Open notional
$239.72
Total PnL
$-135.16
Realised
$108.35
Win rate
100%
32 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- YES
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
32 shares @ 25.1¢·now 26.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.28
$0.28
- YES
Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
381 shares @ 5.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.81
$-12.18
- YES
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.50
$0.50
- YES
XRP all time high by December 31, 2026?
99 shares @ 4.7¢·now 6.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.59
$1.93
- YES
Will John Stanton buy the Seattle Seahawks?
61 shares @ 8.4¢·now 10.8¢·exp Sep 10, 2026$6.57
$1.42
- YES
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.25
$1.25
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?
268 shares @ 1.9¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.17
$1.17
- YES
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
42 shares @ 14.2¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.12
$0.12
- YES
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.07
$1.07
- NO
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
32 shares @ 15.7¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.56
$0.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?$5.00Jun 13, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?$5.00Jun 13, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$4.99Jun 13, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$5.00Jun 13, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$4.99Jun 13, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in June?$5.00Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?$5.00Jun 13, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?$0.00Jun 13, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$6.67Jun 12, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?$6.29Jun 12, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLJung Chung-rae out as DP leader by December 31, 2026?$8.43Jun 12, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$5.25Jun 12, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$5.25Jun 12, 10:33 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?$4.18Jun 12, 08:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?$6.84Jun 12, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?$0.00Jun 11, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce no pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 11, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Matt Mahan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.00Jun 11, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in June?$7.21Jun 11, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?$6.21Jun 11, 14:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $5.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 09:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 32 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.