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OtherExpires Jun 30, 2026

Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?

Probability

88¢

1h

-0.5pp

24h

-1.0pp

24h Vol

$10.00

Liquidity

$6.3K

Probability (last 7 days)

+5.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:21
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 1pp over 24h

    Now 88¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 1569h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 5.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 1568.6h

    LOW
  • 15:21Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 1569h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 87¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 87¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 87¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 87¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 87¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 89¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 89¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 89¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 87¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 87¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).