Hidden-Semiconductor
0xe6d7c21097f400573e8d4538dd123a001544f810
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
125
Open notional
$172.07
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$38.52
Win rate
100%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 125- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
1273 shares @ 3.2¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.55
$10.82
- YES
Databricks IPO before 2027?
174 shares @ 17.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.11
$2.60
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?
36 shares @ 25.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$11.82
$2.87
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
36 shares @ 36.5¢·now 31.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$11.11
$-1.97
- NO
Will CA Nacional Potosí win on 2026-05-24?
39 shares @ 88.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$8.78
$-25.55
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?
36 shares @ 13.7¢·now 20.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$7.32
$2.40
- NO
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%?
5 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2027$4.95
$-0.01
- NO
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?
5 shares @ 99.4¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 8, 2027$4.57
$-0.40
- NO
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 2.50%?
5 shares @ 99.4¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2027$4.55
$-0.42
- NO
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 5.00% and 5.49%?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2027$4.45
$-0.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$30.00Jul 5, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$0.35Jul 5, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$0.35Jul 5, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$8.90Jul 5, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$0.35Jul 5, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$1.90Jul 5, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$54.97Jul 5, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$2.40Jul 5, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$5.10Jul 5, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$2.90Jul 5, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$5.80Jul 5, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$2.90Jul 5, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$2.05Jul 5, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$2.25Jul 5, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$2.40Jul 5, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$1.34Jul 5, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$1.80Jul 5, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$0.35Jul 5, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$2.25Jul 5, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$5.49Jul 5, 08:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
50/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 08:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 08:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.