Academic-Gyro
0xe6daab2704c56862e49585c1280432986c5d2a10
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
64
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-7.80
Win rate
2%
64 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- NO
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
50428 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-399.94
- YES
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
4918 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
702 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
470 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-18.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
333 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-62.14
- UNDER
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
167 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
136 shares @ 44.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?
132 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?$2.45Aug 14, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$2.63Aug 4, 18:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lionel Messi score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$40.00Jul 20, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nico Williams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$33.59Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. England: Team to Win$37.44Jul 18, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$70.09Jul 18, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$7.08Jul 15, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$2.07Jul 15, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?$10.78Jul 15, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$42.07Jul 14, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$0.00Jul 14, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$5.39Jul 14, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Spain: O/U 5.5$31.75Jul 14, 21:13 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Spain: O/U 4.5$5.75Jul 14, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$0.58Jul 14, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.17Jul 14, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.68Jul 14, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.83Jul 14, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$40.34Jul 14, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.63Jul 14, 20:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 64 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
64 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $25.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 20:56 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 01:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 64 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.