Aggressive-Stain
0xe6e0ca2472c9e03ebfff33c6599c550534c51120
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$31.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-126.63
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
200 shares @ 24.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
17388 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-766.67
- NO
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
8925 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-29.90
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
5756 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-70.66
- YES
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?
4154 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-31.16
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
1247 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-17.45
- YES
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
1117 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$26.14Jun 17, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$0.20Jun 2, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$1.40Jun 2, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$1.40Jun 2, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$0.34Jun 2, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$0.85Jun 2, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$0.36Jun 2, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$1.09Jun 2, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$0.36Jun 2, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$1.09Jun 2, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$0.47Jun 2, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$1.40Jun 2, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$0.17Jun 1, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$0.09Jun 1, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$0.11Jun 1, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$0.12Jun 1, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$17.62Jun 1, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$1.04Jun 1, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$5.77Jun 1, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$0.06Jun 1, 20:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
10/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $13.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 16:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 12:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.