Deafening-Envelope
0xe6f9780851dba6c952669eb688ae192544f591e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$6.60
Total PnL
$-26.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
40 shares @ 15.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.60
$0.60
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Van Epps win TN-07 by 0–5%?
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will FC Augsburg vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?
14 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
11 shares @ 57.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (CBRL) beat quarterly earnings?$7.09Dec 11, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (CBRL) beat quarterly earnings?$0.69Dec 9, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (CBRL) beat quarterly earnings?$0.69Dec 9, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (CBRL) beat quarterly earnings?$1.03Dec 9, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Van Epps win TN-07 by 0–5%?$0.38Nov 28, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Van Epps win TN-07 by 0–5%?$7.62Nov 28, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Augsburg vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?$3.00Nov 22, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$5.65Nov 20, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?$6.00Nov 20, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$0.35Nov 20, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?$5.00Nov 19, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?$5.00Nov 18, 10:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hungary win on 2025-11-16?$22.98Nov 16, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hungary win on 2025-11-16?$12.18Nov 16, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$12.17Apr 5, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$0.00Feb 10, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMDemocrats win popular vote by 7% or more?$0.00Jan 27, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?$0.00Jan 27, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 21, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump win Florida by 12+ points?$0.00Nov 21, 10:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $10.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 13, 08:40 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 11, 14:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.