Pointed-Fatigues
0xe6faea8245c40f82b38f80825dedd10b52a57a1f
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$451.38
Total PnL
$-7.03
Realised
$-3.40
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
237 shares @ 84.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$236.81
$36.81
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
215 shares @ 93.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$214.56
$14.56
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?
87 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Austria?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Austria?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime?
36 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Spain vs. Austria: Draw at halftime?
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?$100.51Jul 11, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?$101.01Jul 11, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$100.24Jul 10, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$100.44Jul 10, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$20.46Jul 6, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime?$10.22Jul 3, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Austria?$5.13Jul 2, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Austria?$10.25Jul 2, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Austria: Draw at halftime?$10.14Jul 2, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$51.84Jul 1, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$20.49Jul 1, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$373.55Apr 7, 23:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 6, 2026?$0.00Mar 12, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?$293.54Mar 12, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?$200.00Mar 12, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$300.00Mar 9, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?$1.3KMar 9, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?$800.00Mar 9, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?$491.11Mar 9, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$0.00Mar 9, 01:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $114.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 18:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 22:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.