Bogus-Developer
0xe702f385b8880b7aa37ec82fb6979a40d70eb6c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$58.60
Total PnL
$-12.66
Realised
$-1.26
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by June 30, 2026?
17 shares @ 88.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.81
$-0.34
- YES
Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $8.0B?
18 shares @ 68.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$11.22
$-0.99
- NO
Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?
18 shares @ 51.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$9.32
$0.09
- NO
Will Matheus Cunha score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
21 shares @ 39.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.56
$-0.63
- YES
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 12, 2026?
40 shares @ 13.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.80
$-0.40
- YES
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $7B by June 30?
20 shares @ 27.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.90
$-1.50
- YES
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?
23 shares @ 16.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.33
$-0.34
- YES
Will Fred M'membe win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
22 shares @ 33.5¢·now 11.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$2.53
$-4.84
- YES
Will Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
23 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.56
$-0.13
- YES
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by June 30?
8 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.56
$-0.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 12, 2026?$2.21Jun 6, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 12, 2026?$3.02Jun 6, 08:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $8.0B?$1.38Jun 6, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matheus Cunha score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.23Jun 6, 07:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fred M'membe win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?$2.79Jun 6, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?$17.02Jun 6, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $8.0B?$13.67Jun 6, 04:44 UTC
- REWARD$5.66Jun 6, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fred M'membe win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?$0.30Jun 5, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fred M'membe win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?$6.03Jun 5, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fred M'membe win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?$7.81Jun 5, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLTread FDV above $100M one day after launch$4.81Jun 5, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$1.79Jun 5, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by June 30, 2026?$15.22Jun 5, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by June 30, 2026?$17.51Jun 5, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?$17.09Jun 5, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?$17.51Jun 5, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYTread FDV above $100M one day after launch$5.70Jun 5, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?$18.09Jun 5, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$0.23Jun 5, 02:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $6.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 08:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 09:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".