Self-Assured-Percentage
0xe7049c7953d466a6e426ca2d7755a5db745436f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$6.23
Total PnL
$-31.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
5 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$4.69
$1.69
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
3 shares @ 31.6¢·now 48.6¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.54
$0.54
- YES
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Opensea token market cap (FDV) $3-5b one day after launch?
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Opensea token market cap (FDV) $1-3b one day after launch?
29 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Opensea token market cap (FDV) $10-15b one day after launch?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Opensea token market cap (FDV) $5-10b one day after launch?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Kraken IPO in 2025?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will new pope be 70+ years old?
5 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.00Apr 4, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$3.00Mar 14, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMMen's Round of 16 - Czechia vs. Denmark$6.41Mar 14, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown Saturday?$12.04Mar 14, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Round of 16 - Czechia vs. Denmark$5.00Feb 17, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$1.00Jan 22, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$1.00Dec 23, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$5.00Nov 11, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5000 in October?$20.00Nov 11, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5000 in October?$19.00Oct 22, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 69°F or higher on September 24?$1.6KSep 25, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 69°F or higher on September 24?$1.6KSep 24, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 23?$487.89Sep 24, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 73°F or below on September 23?$1.2KSep 24, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 23?$487.40Sep 23, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 73°F or below on September 23?$1.1KSep 23, 05:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 16-22?$1.6KSep 23, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 16-22?$1.6KSep 22, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Isack Hadjar win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?$400.40Sep 22, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liam Lawson win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?$401.91Sep 22, 05:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $383.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 19:34 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 4, 07:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".