Immaculate-Western
0xe715755e6b32e6b2f7620f2f878090dd7d5a8b42
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
112
Open notional
$29.30
Total PnL
$-306.13
Realised
$1.78
Win rate
50%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 112- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
20 shares @ 73.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$16.01
$1.41
- YES
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?
30 shares @ 10.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$3.75
$0.75
- YES
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
25 shares @ 7.6¢·now 7.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$1.88
$-0.02
- YES
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?
40 shares @ 2.6¢·now 4.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$1.82
$0.78
- YES
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?
40 shares @ 2.8¢·now 4.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$1.78
$0.66
- YES
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
20 shares @ 6.2¢·now 6.8¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$1.35
$0.11
- YES
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 3.9¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$1.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?
20 shares @ 4.2¢·now 3.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.69
$-0.15
- YES
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$0.65
$-0.35
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.33
$-0.68
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLNew York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers$1.74Jul 22, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers$0.63Jul 22, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers$0.21Jul 22, 01:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.00Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$10.00Jul 19, 22:56 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$20.00Jul 19, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$8.85Jul 19, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$6.00Jul 19, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$1.10Jul 19, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.04Jul 19, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$6.30Jul 19, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.42Jul 19, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$3.20Jul 19, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$3.40Jul 19, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$0.69Jul 19, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$5.90Jul 19, 19:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
42/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $3.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 21:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.