Frozen-Antler
0xe734e7bf7cfb9e464681f71822f6c2f6be514f0c
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$566.1K
Total PnL
$-36.8K
Realised
$26.2K
Win rate
53%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- NO
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
420000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$418.9K
$208.9K
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
36600 shares @ 83.2¢·now 90.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$33.2K
$2.8K
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
146929 shares @ 24.0¢·now 21.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$32.3K
$-3.1K
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?
30204 shares @ 86.9¢·now 95.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$28.8K
$2.6K
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?
17769 shares @ 52.9¢·now 77.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$13.7K
$4.3K
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?
33200 shares @ 26.8¢·now 36.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$12.1K
$3.2K
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?
11488 shares @ 93.3¢·now 97.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$11.2K
$448.36
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
11878 shares @ 26.6¢·now 26.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$3.1K
$-8.10
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
19000 shares @ 12.5¢·now 12.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.4K
$-4.90
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?
28674 shares @ 9.6¢·now 7.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.0K
$-732.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$6.53Jul 26, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$70.46Jul 26, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$70.46Jul 26, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$70.46Jul 26, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$70.46Jul 26, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$68.87Jul 26, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$303.87Jul 26, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$3.1KJul 26, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?$3.4KJul 26, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?$191.20Jul 26, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$876.21Jul 26, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?$95.60Jul 26, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$274.29Jul 26, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$105.90Jul 26, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$26.04Jul 26, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?$81.46Jul 26, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$107.60Jul 26, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$17.57Jul 26, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$0.65Jul 26, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?$480.00Jul 26, 05:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$72.9K
Trades
4
Buy share
80%
Window
May 25, 05:00 UTC → Jul 14, 09:28 UTC
- BUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?$5.7K@70¢Jul 2, 21:26 UTC
- BUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?$17.1K@95¢Jun 21, 06:42 UTC
- BUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$8.1K@82¢Jun 8, 10:01 UTC
- SELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$5.6K@87¢Jun 3, 06:55 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
53% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 9 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$5.7K
1 trades
Buy share
80%
Sample
limited
9 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?
$17.1K · 23% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $207.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 03:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 07:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.