Well-Groomed-Clogs
0xe7458f504e1a2363f9c64763e8e6c3d51fa061e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
64
Open notional
$32.67
Total PnL
$-636.81
Realised
$61.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$31.25
$26.25
- YES
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$1.42
$-3.58
- NO
Will more people travel on Thanksgiving than last year?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 2?
2527 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
1463 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will New York Times (NYT) beat quarterly earnings?
580 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
375 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4AM ET
330 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 00:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.