Frivolous-Fiction
0xe74d4976e5e034182d708a3b9df602e72d4722fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$30.4K
Total PnL
$9.4K
Realised
$1.3K
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
113873 shares @ 4.2¢·now 11.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.6K
$8.8K
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
6000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.0K
$1.9K
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
6000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.0K
$1.9K
- YES
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?
2366 shares @ 81.3¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.1K
$158.47
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?
2395 shares @ 50.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.8K
$611.28
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
6000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.1K
$-1.9K
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
6000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.1K
$-1.9K
- NO
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?
5643 shares @ 21.4¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$564.29
$-644.86
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?
1578 shares @ 3.4¢·now 11.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$176.72
$122.43
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?
1279 shares @ 13.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$172.73
$6.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?$114.65Jun 15, 01:05 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.27Jun 15, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$9.21Jun 15, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$9.21Jun 15, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.18Jun 15, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$3.36Jun 15, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.18Jun 15, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$1.21Jun 15, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$6.43Jun 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$78.79Jun 14, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$23.42Jun 14, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$256.36Jun 14, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$360.17Jun 14, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.55Jun 14, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?$305.98Jun 14, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$1.1KJun 14, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$4.69Jun 14, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$17.55Jun 14, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$0.97Jun 14, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$43.13Jun 14, 19:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $168.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 12:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 01:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.