0xe762cff9f9de55dbff51657c457650b729d67346
0xe762cff9f9de55dbff51657c457650b729d67346
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$515.12
Total PnL
$-872.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
371 shares @ 88.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$356.30
$30.20
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
78 shares @ 77.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$67.01
$7.01
- NO
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
52 shares @ 77.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.79
$7.79
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
43 shares @ 47.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.11
$5.11
- YES
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
79 shares @ 38.9¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$18.91
$-11.72
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition
252 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
196 shares @ 61.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on August 15?
196 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will anyone say "Trump" during Apple launch event on September 9?
162 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will anyone say "iPhone" 100+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?
155 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jul 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 9, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 7, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 4, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $69.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 17:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.