Potable-Hourglass
0xe76440a253e95091d866d232ae0092f1d7950479
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-250.29
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Luigi Mangione extradited to New York by December?
100 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-57.00
- NO
Will Luke Littler win the PDC World Darts Championship?
100 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?
70 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-34.30
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
70 shares @ 63.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-44.38
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?
60 shares @ 40.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-24.06
- YES
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
50 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.40
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?
50 shares @ 51.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-25.90
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
30 shares @ 30.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.03
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 43.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-2.18
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Colorado Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$3.02Mar 25, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$3.15Mar 25, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$3.38Mar 25, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$17.00Mar 25, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother US strike on Venezuela by March 31?$48.71Mar 25, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$3.02Mar 16, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$14.04Mar 13, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$17.49Mar 13, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$7.28Mar 13, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$6.84Mar 13, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$18.49Mar 13, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$39.47Mar 6, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$4.90Mar 6, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$45.00Mar 2, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$90.00Mar 2, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$9.03Feb 15, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?$25.90Feb 3, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$13.40Jan 31, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?$24.06Jan 31, 05:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$68.40Jan 31, 05:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $64.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 11:10 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 02:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".