Novel-Macrame
0xe76df1f56c135de667be830876784025f3258ab0
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$3.71
Total PnL
$-57.54
Realised
$-0.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
3 shares @ 95.1¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.75
$0.05
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.3¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$-0.02
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 20?
5304 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-10.61
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 13?
5270 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.27
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on June 5?
2128 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.26
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 1?
1266 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.53
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 10?
1110 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.33
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 1?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 12?
1094 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.09
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on May 27?
1083 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 3?$5.71Jul 3, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 3?$5.70Jul 2, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$6.53Jun 30, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$6.52Jun 26, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $1,950 on June 5?$4.26Jun 6, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,300 on May 27?$2.17May 28, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,400 on May 19?$2.13May 20, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 12?$1.1KMay 13, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 12?$1.1KMay 13, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 12?$1.1KMay 12, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 12?$1.1KMay 12, 06:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 11?$1.1KMay 12, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 11?$1.1KMay 12, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 11?$1.1KMay 11, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 11?$1.1KMay 11, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 on May 10?$1.1KMay 11, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 on May 10?$1.1KMay 11, 01:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 10?$1.1KMay 10, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 10?$1.1KMay 10, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 on May 9?$1.1KMay 10, 06:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $453.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 08:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 16:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.