Enchanted-Hardware
0xe7a5708ed5f40492510bfa3253f40fad47ac8fc0
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$160.64
Total PnL
$-159.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
129 shares @ 77.7¢·now 75.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$96.92
$-3.08
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
12500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$18.75
$-6.25
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?
190 shares @ 21.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$17.14
$-22.86
- YES
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
167 shares @ 12.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.83
$-9.17
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
6667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
625 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
114 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
40 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?$40.00Jul 28, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$101.12Jul 28, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$26.25Jul 28, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$20.00Jul 28, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$20.00Jul 28, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$602.99Jul 23, 12:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?$284.81Jul 14, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$10.38Jul 11, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?$102.60Jul 7, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$51.83Jul 7, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$212.77Jul 7, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump praise Allah again by April 15?$165.44Jul 7, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$101.59Jul 7, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Allah again by April 15?$20.00Apr 7, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$50.00Apr 7, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$10.00Mar 3, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$25.00Mar 3, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$20.00Jan 28, 15:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $42.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 15:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 20:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.