Humming-Expertise
0xe7a69813578ed7baf8813054aa8819a40966efda
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$16.95
Total PnL
$-252.17
Realised
$-24.56
Win rate
2%
43 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- NO
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 51.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.72
$9.72
- YES
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?
11 shares @ 28.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2026$3.86
$0.86
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
120 shares @ 2.5¢·now 1.2¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$1.44
$-1.56
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?
12 shares @ 40.2¢·now 7.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$0.93
$-4.07
- NO
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump's tie be yellow?
756 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump's tie be blue?
595 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.84
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?$6.08Jul 31, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?$5.12Jul 30, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$3.15Jul 30, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$10.41Jul 27, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" this week?$5.18Jul 26, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?$3.11Jul 26, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?$9.38Jul 25, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump's tie be another color?$1.04Jul 25, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump's tie be red?$1.03Jul 25, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump's tie be blue?$0.87Jul 25, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump's tie be yellow?$1.04Jul 25, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?$3.08Jul 25, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?$10.30Jul 23, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?$1.03Jul 23, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?$2.05Jul 23, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$3.09Jul 23, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$17.86Jul 21, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$2.06Jul 19, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYNYC Air Quality Index below 100 by July 20?$2.08Jul 18, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AQI at the World Cup final be 120 or higher?$3.13Jul 18, 00:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 43 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
43 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $5.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 01:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 23:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 43 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.