Ethical-Hippopotamus
0xe7cb6e31f033e0e9f5940e46d84166c7d7ded447
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$127.4K
Total PnL
$-47.6K
Realised
$-5.6K
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
55159 shares @ 64.7¢·now 76.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$42.2K
$6.5K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
47771 shares @ 69.4¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.4K
$6.2K
- YES
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
236885 shares @ 11.6¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.6K
$-876.71
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
23869 shares @ 82.2¢·now 47.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.3K
$-8.3K
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
6505 shares @ 66.5¢·now 65.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$4.3K
$-62.76
- YES
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
264331 shares @ 4.7¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.6K
$-9.0K
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
1003171 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-33.7K
- YES
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
54331 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
50000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-168.75
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
10000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.03Jun 14, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$9.55Jun 14, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$20.60Jun 14, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$20.80Jun 14, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$21.00Jun 14, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$12.93Jun 14, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.18Jun 14, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.76Jun 14, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$172.12Jun 14, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 14, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 14, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.01Jun 14, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$14.86Jun 14, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$363.01Jun 14, 03:53 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.19Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$9.27Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$5.74Jun 13, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$7.53Jun 13, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$0.33Jun 13, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$8.40Jun 13, 22:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$14.5K
Trades
2
Buy share
100%
Window
May 31, 09:40 UTC → Jun 11, 22:55 UTC
- BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$7.4K@76¢Jun 11, 22:55 UTC
- BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$7.1K@89¢May 31, 09:35 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$7.4K
1 trades
30d volume
$14.5K
2 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
2 ledger trades
Top market concentration
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
$7.4K · 51% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $17.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 16:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 07:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.