Unimportant-Jumper
0xe7cd43a614a110463e86f10775c42c50a4223cae
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$13.30
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$-11.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
1400 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$13.30
$-882.70
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
14100 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
900 shares @ 48.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-436.77
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2023-24 Champions League?
556 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
286 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?
200 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-42.00
- YES
Finnish Presidential Election: Will Pekka Haavisto win?
187 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2024$0.00
$-14.99
- YES
Will Ryan Gosling win the Oscar for Best Supporting Actor?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- M80
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Trump wins every swing state?
89 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-70.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$30.52Jun 25, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$21.20Jun 25, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$154.98Jun 25, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$206.70Jun 25, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$169.65Jun 18, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$70.00Jun 16, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$109.35Jun 15, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$896.00Jun 15, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$436.77Jun 15, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$1.5KJun 15, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5$47.78Jun 13, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$744.57Jun 12, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$13.26Jun 12, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$83.44Jun 12, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$43.00Jun 10, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$651.00Jun 9, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$1.0KJun 8, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$20.48Jun 7, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$110.00Jun 5, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$870.00Jun 5, 08:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $258.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 15:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 14:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.