Slight-Investigation
0xe7e277087c51c8cdbcc3bcc2319d616ad7b81056
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
100
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$94.14
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 100- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
290 shares @ 36.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-106.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?
283 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-8.77
- TRAIL BLAZERS
Trail Blazers vs. Warriors
143 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- BLUE JAYS
Dodgers vs. Blue Jays
133 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-19.96
- YES
Will Kraken run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- LAKERS
Lakers vs. Spurs
117 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- JAZZ
Magic vs. Jazz
116 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- JAZZ
Jazz vs. Warriors
111 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
105 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- BUCKS
Bucks vs. Spurs
103 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLLamine Yamal: 1+ goals$1.63Jul 19, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLLionel Messi: 1+ goals$6.39Jul 19, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5$6.11Jul 19, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$12.28Jul 19, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYLamine Yamal: 1+ goals$5.14Jul 19, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$5.06Jul 19, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?$9.19Jul 19, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$9.26Jul 19, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5$19.95Jul 19, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals$18.58Jul 19, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$10.48Jul 19, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$57.26Jul 19, 18:32 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$0.00Jul 15, 21:25 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$100.00Jul 15, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$41.20Jul 15, 19:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMNo Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX?$0.00Jul 12, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMRaptors vs. Celtics$0.00Jul 12, 17:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $31.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 20:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.