Magnificent-Catastrophe
0xe8081f0177344292eed318699028f89f863b893a
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$4.58
Total PnL
$-1.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 3, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$1.32
$0.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$1.25
$0.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on May 9?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 53°F or below on May 10?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 53°F or below on May 10?$1.00May 8, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on May 9?$1.00May 8, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$1.00Apr 16, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$1.00Apr 14, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 3, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$1.00Mar 3, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?$1.00Mar 2, 19:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 19:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 23:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".