Feminine-Threshold
0xe80fa37ec3c8a4043e04b28b1a053785325d3354
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$4.2K
Total PnL
$-28.1K
Realised
$372.11
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 75.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.7K
$240.00
- YES
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
1000 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$999.50
$49.50
- YES
Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2027?
500 shares @ 88.8¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$399.75
$-44.25
- YES
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?
500 shares @ 60.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$305.00
$5.00
- YES
Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch
500 shares @ 60.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$262.50
$-37.50
- YES
Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch
510 shares @ 24.7¢·now 32.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$163.20
$37.28
- YES
Tread FDV above $200M one day after launch
500 shares @ 7.0¢·now 24.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$121.00
$86.00
- YES
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 20.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$85.00
$-115.00
- YES
Tread FDV above $150M one day after launch
500 shares @ 11.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$75.00
$20.00
- YES
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$34.00
$14.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?$73.37Jul 29, 01:36 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.46Jul 29, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?$2.62Jul 28, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: GenOne vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage$499.99Jul 28, 18:41 UTC
- REDEEMMap Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)$349.61Jul 28, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on July 28?$500.00Jul 28, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?$2.76Jul 28, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)$0.67Jul 28, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)$11.49Jul 28, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)$2.00Jul 28, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)$6.45Jul 28, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)$66.67Jul 28, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)$8.00Jul 28, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)$44.58Jul 28, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: GenOne vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage$53.93Jul 28, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: GenOne vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage$1.03Jul 28, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: GenOne vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage$1.10Jul 28, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: GenOne vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage$0.75Jul 28, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: GenOne vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage$18.95Jul 28, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Shelton AND Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Minaur (+1.5) AND Counter-Strike: GenOne vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage$14.00Jul 28, 12:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $32.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 09:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 01:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.