Regular-Velvet
0xe8107bb9e09ac933ed93b833eb68ad8c50b88fc5
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$3.7K
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-174.68
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
8645 shares @ 37.0¢·now 26.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.3K
$-944.61
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
6250 shares @ 16.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$625.00
$-375.00
- YES
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
7500 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$487.50
$-37.50
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
3127 shares @ 16.3¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$297.06
$-214.01
- YES
Trump out as President by April 30?
10000 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-219.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$7.63Jun 11, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$47.76Jun 11, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$161.49Jun 10, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$47.30Jun 10, 01:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$105.27Jun 10, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.80Jun 8, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$239.65Jun 4, 00:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$193.88Jun 3, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$499.37May 22, 01:50 UTC
- REWARD$0.57May 22, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$19.21May 21, 16:54 UTC
- REWARD$1.94May 21, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$3.14May 21, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$0.12May 18, 10:19 UTC
- REWARD$0.71May 18, 10:17 UTC
- REWARD$3.69May 18, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$21.24May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$269.10May 14, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$442.32May 12, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$154.21May 11, 20:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $91.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 02:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 22:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.