0xe8278d22bef444ede84505b7c0ec4e4001305209
0xe8278d22bef444ede84505b7c0ec4e4001305209
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$4.7K
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$-176.65
Win rate
50%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
2000 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.0K
$-1.00
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1431 shares @ 71.6¢·now 73.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$24.72
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June?
500 shares @ 66.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$397.50
$67.50
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
698 shares @ 56.1¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$373.33
$-18.29
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1500 shares @ 16.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$217.50
$-22.50
- DOWN
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?
387 shares @ 52.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$206.95
$5.80
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
226 shares @ 60.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$136.64
$1.13
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
300 shares @ 56.7¢·now 34.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$102.60
$-67.50
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
101 shares @ 60.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$60.89
$0.50
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in June?
66 shares @ 69.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$58.31
$12.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?$36.80Jun 14, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$204.42Jun 14, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMAustralia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5$396.81Jun 14, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMAustralia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5$306.33Jun 14, 06:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 13, 2026?$9.90Jun 14, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 13, 2026?$1.38Jun 14, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5$60.00Jun 14, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5$47.52Jun 14, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5$23.89Jun 14, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5$23.01Jun 14, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5$77.09Jun 14, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$326.15Jun 14, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5$303.36Jun 14, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$4.50Jun 14, 05:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 13, 2026?$0.12Jun 14, 05:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$70.71Jun 14, 05:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$88.08Jun 14, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$8.20Jun 14, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$0.06Jun 14, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$13.24Jun 14, 04:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $41.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 03:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 07:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.