Troubled-Gingerbread
0xe828957de161efdff4318de1cf1d9716a1e45cea
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$13.0K
Total PnL
$-9.7K
Realised
$523.98
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
11236 shares @ 80.1¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$8.9K
$-117.97
- YES
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 77.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.9K
$400.00
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
1200 shares @ 78.3¢·now 95.6¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.1K
$207.26
- KNICKS
Spurs vs. Knicks
1810 shares @ 55.3¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$986.31
$-13.69
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
1000 shares @ 15.4¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$50.90
$-103.10
- YES
Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
40057 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-988.60
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
33333 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
10000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
8383 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-297.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
3819 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-370.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$9.1KJun 6, 04:30 UTC
- TRADESELLKnicks vs. Spurs$571.43Jun 6, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$1.0KJun 4, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$1.0KJun 4, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$921.06Jun 4, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$510.35Jun 4, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$1.0KJun 1, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$330.43Jun 1, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.3KMay 31, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Thunder$1.0KMay 31, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.3KMay 31, 02:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$240.19May 30, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$216.56May 29, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$437.35May 29, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMClaude 4.8 released by May 31?$617.46May 29, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Spurs$1.0KMay 29, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYClaude 4.8 released by May 31?$49.44May 28, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYClaude 4.8 released by May 31?$447.78May 28, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.0KMay 28, 10:41 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$12.46May 28, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $494.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 01:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 04:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".