Spicy-Doll
0xe84ce8645ba1d061a295d63805bb293f7bd5732f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$2.50
Total PnL
$-257.75
Realised
$2.66
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
111 shares @ 22.9¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.50
$-22.92
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
1000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
556 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
200 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on February 28?
147 shares @ 51.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-75.46
- YES
Iran leadership change by April 30?
68 shares @ 37.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 27?
66 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-31.68
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on February 27?
46 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-30.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$20.00Mar 14, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$7.00Mar 14, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$5.00Mar 14, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by April 30?$5.74Mar 14, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$30.00Mar 12, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$30.00Mar 12, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$30.00Mar 12, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by April 30?$30.00Mar 12, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 27?$62.53Mar 12, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on February 28?$5.91Feb 27, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on February 28?$4.69Feb 27, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on February 28?$9.06Feb 27, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 27?$28.08Feb 27, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on February 28?$27.73Feb 27, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on February 28?$28.09Feb 27, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on February 27?$30.84Feb 27, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 27?$0.44Feb 26, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 27?$29.76Feb 26, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 27?$1.48Feb 26, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 26?$21.04Feb 26, 16:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $21.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 07:38 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 14:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".