Hidden-Spatula
0xe85e9c91417406230b56c5b8876a386f0e1b77fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$74.7K
Total PnL
$2.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
35000 shares @ 86.0¢·now 95.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.5K
$3.4K
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
26713 shares @ 87.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.7K
$2.4K
- NO
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?
15303 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$15.3K
$40.97
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
2931 shares @ 21.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$307.76
$-307.76
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
3982 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.8K
Recent activity
- YIELD$2.32Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$2.33Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$2.33Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$2.32Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$2.33Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$2.32Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$2.32Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$2.31Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$2.32Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$2.33Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$2.33Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$2.33Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$2.33Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$2.33Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$2.33Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$2.33Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$2.33Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$2.33Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$2.33Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$2.32Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.