Grotesque-Lieu
0xe866a1716173497588ecaa1f7dc40aab543ecc4d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
118
Open notional
$4.64
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-4.06
Win rate
32%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 118- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 6.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.60
$-2.40
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.78
$-3.22
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
14 shares @ 35.1¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.26
$-4.74
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
162 shares @ 46.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-75.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
158 shares @ 46.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-73.90
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
151 shares @ 46.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-70.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
108 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-59.21
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 8?
90 shares @ 54.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-48.70
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?
87 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-20.85
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?
85 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-22.91
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$3.87Jun 5, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$3.87Jun 5, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$1.58Jun 5, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$2.39Jun 5, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$3.00Jun 5, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$3.08Jun 5, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$26.89Jun 4, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$1.16Jun 4, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$1.42Jun 4, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$1.47Jun 4, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$4.28Jun 4, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$2.93Jun 4, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$3.72Jun 4, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$1.27Jun 4, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$3.86Jun 4, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$3.86Jun 4, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$1.26Jun 4, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$3.38Jun 4, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$1.78Jun 4, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$3.38Jun 4, 22:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 00:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 13:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.