0xe877ac7f091d82449d71cd1f94c5f9a59f0425c0
0xe877ac7f091d82449d71cd1f94c5f9a59f0425c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-265.91
Realised
$-94.23
Win rate
0%
195 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Netherlands leading at halftime?
23050 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-23.05
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
78 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-11.68
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 19?
75 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.42
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 16?
60 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.06
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 19?
60 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.49
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 20?
60 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.06
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 20?
45 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.04
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 19?
45 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.23
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 22?
45 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.57
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 20?
45 shares @ 70.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-31.64
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?$5.00Jul 28, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 28?$0.00Jul 28, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 28?$0.00Jul 28, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 28?$0.00Jul 28, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 28?$0.00Jul 28, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 28?$0.00Jul 28, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?$4.91Jul 28, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 28?$0.02Jul 28, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 28?$13.17Jul 28, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 28?$0.03Jul 28, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 28?$0.02Jul 28, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 28?$0.46Jul 28, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 27?$0.00Jul 27, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 27?$0.00Jul 27, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 27?$0.00Jul 27, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 27?$0.00Jul 27, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 27?$0.00Jul 27, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 27?$0.00Jul 27, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 27?$0.37Jul 27, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 27?$0.02Jul 27, 15:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 195 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 22/100.
195 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 21:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 23:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 195 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.