Humongous-Noun
0xe87ab44fb5210575367ac7b16f1d62fbff836d01
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-30.1K
Realised
$-38.83
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will Wolves win on 2025-11-08?
13496 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- PREDATORS
Predators vs. Maple Leafs
11082 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will Watford FC win on 2025-11-07?
8082 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.8K
- RAIDERS
Bears vs. Raiders
5997 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-4.6K
- CHARGERS
Chargers vs. Giants
5000 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- NO
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-09-27?
2779 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-09-26?
2435 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- PURDUE BOILERMAKERS
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Minnesota
2196 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-09-28?
2143 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$0.00
$-900.00
- UNDER
Vikings vs. Steelers: O/U 41.5
2015 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$32.66Jan 20, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$7.44Jan 20, 01:07 UTC
- MERGEWill Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$8.27Jan 20, 01:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$24.88Jan 20, 00:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be a red flag during the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?$160.00Jan 14, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wolves win on 2025-11-08?$1.5KNov 8, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLMaryland Terrapins vs. Rutgers$754.71Nov 8, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBowling vs. Eastern Michigan$401.50Nov 8, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLMaryland Terrapins vs. Rutgers$324.80Nov 8, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBowling vs. Eastern Michigan$3.56Nov 8, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaryland Terrapins vs. Rutgers$951.93Nov 8, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBowling vs. Eastern Michigan$345.05Nov 8, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Philadelphia Eagles win the NFC East?$1.3KNov 8, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Watford FC win on 2025-11-07?$2.0KNov 7, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Watford FC win on 2025-11-07?$1.75Nov 7, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Watford FC win on 2025-11-07?$1.75Nov 7, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Watford FC win on 2025-11-07?$57.75Nov 7, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Watford FC win on 2025-11-07?$25.20Nov 7, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Watford FC win on 2025-11-07?$414.40Nov 7, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Watford FC win on 2025-11-07?$367.85Nov 7, 21:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $354.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 04:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 20, 01:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.