Candid-Shootdown
0xe8ba80aa818f11942447bc28dd5c366d6ea04978
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$448.43
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$40.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- T1
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
1196 shares @ 40.3¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$448.43
$-33.23
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
13581 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-903.43
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
4167 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Pennsylvania be the closest state?
577 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?
546 shares @ 47.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-257.92
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 4-5%?
527 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will G2 Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?
423 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 3-4%?
385 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
326 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-81.52
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 5-6%?
286 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$490.29May 13, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$81.52Nov 9, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$33.55Nov 9, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$327.97Nov 9, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$33.91Nov 9, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$300.00Nov 9, 19:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?$333.91Nov 9, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?$36.73Oct 28, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anyone’s Legend win LoL Worlds 2025?$37.50Oct 28, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill G2 Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?$10.00Oct 28, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$50.00Oct 28, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$36.30Oct 28, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$34.12Sep 16, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$100.00Sep 16, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$619.69Sep 4, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$183.76Aug 15, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?$257.92Nov 21, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?$54.54Nov 21, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?$65.27Nov 21, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?$37.31Nov 21, 19:16 UTC
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $95.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 00:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 19:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".