Safe-Withdrawal
0xe8d1472af53003b7c309e29a01d85314a0f65cdf
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$258.52
Total PnL
$26.82
Realised
$5.73
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 400.0k by May 31?
113 shares @ 44.8¢·now 59.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$66.49
$16.05
- YES
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
86 shares @ 45.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$55.63
$16.82
- NO
Will Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 300.0k by May 31?
50 shares @ 48.1¢·now 88.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$44.00
$19.95
- YES
Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 650.0k by May 31?
55 shares @ 22.7¢·now 77.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$42.35
$29.85
- NO
Will Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 450.0k by May 31?
78 shares @ 43.5¢·now 41.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$31.89
$-1.99
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 69.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$17.06
$-0.38
- NO
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
60 shares @ 8.4¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.78
$-4.22
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
29 shares @ 68.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.32
$-19.68
- YES
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
36 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Shopify (SHOP) beat quarterly earnings?
6 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.31
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?$15.00May 19, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?$14.60May 19, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$17.84May 19, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 450.0k by May 31?$12.07May 19, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 650.0k by May 31?$8.14May 19, 08:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 550.0k by May 31?$19.98May 19, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 650.0k by May 31?$4.60May 19, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 450.0k by May 31?$22.57May 19, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 400.0k by May 31?$24.77May 19, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 550.0k by May 31?$16.13May 19, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 400.0k by May 31?$18.80May 19, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 700.0k by May 31?$18.55May 19, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 400.0k by May 31?$7.99May 19, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 700.0k by May 31?$13.77May 19, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 300.0k by May 31?$10.92May 19, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 300.0k by May 31?$4.23May 19, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$51.75May 19, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 300.0k by May 31?$9.40May 19, 03:38 UTC
- REWARD$0.11May 19, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$2.96May 19, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $34.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 25, 14:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 11:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".