Near-Pineapple
0xe8f737dab800ca0fbe96dd0f0bcf23787b0569c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$21.70
Total PnL
$-303.09
Realised
$3.75
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
5431 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$16.29
$-4.11
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
7820 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$3.91
$-3.91
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
53800 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-54.66
- YES
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
12273 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-38.51
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9?
1005 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-9.93
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
727 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$8.21Jul 29, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?$1.05Jul 29, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 30?$9.08Jul 29, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 30?$14.51Jul 29, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 30?$14.64Jul 29, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 30?$9.32Jul 29, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 30?$8.52Jul 29, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 30?$17.70Jul 29, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 30?$18.73Jul 29, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 30?$0.43Jul 29, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$10.05Jul 29, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$10.31Jul 29, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 30?$18.74Jul 29, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 30?$8.09Jul 29, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 30?$10.59Jul 29, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 30?$1.06Jul 29, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$13.85Jul 28, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$10.36Jul 28, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 29?$2.89Jul 28, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 29?$13.07Jul 28, 22:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 08:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 12:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.