Decent-Laundry-Address
0xe9086c2acb87ef4b25f695c740beabbc8f83047b
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$502.09
Total PnL
$-39.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
413 shares @ 42.4¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$86.70
$-88.30
- YES
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
341 shares @ 14.7¢·now 24.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$82.26
$32.26
- YES
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
58 shares @ 86.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Sep 17, 2026$53.20
$3.20
- YES
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?
58 shares @ 85.6¢·now 88.1¢·exp Oct 28, 2026$51.46
$1.46
- YES
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?
141 shares @ 35.5¢·now 34.7¢·exp Jan 18, 2027$48.87
$-1.13
- YES
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
135 shares @ 37.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.96
$-6.04
- YES
Will Warsh say "Productivity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
33 shares @ 76.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Aug 28, 2026$26.15
$1.15
- YES
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?
35 shares @ 70.9¢·now 73.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2026$25.73
$0.73
- YES
Will Warsh say "CapEx" or "Capital Expenditure" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Aug 28, 2026$15.97
$5.97
- YES
Will Warsh say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Aug 28, 2026$15.00
$5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh’s remarks not air?$6.59Aug 19, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Good Day" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?$10.12Aug 18, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?$10.35Aug 18, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Productivity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?$25.24Aug 18, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "CapEx" or "Capital Expenditure" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?$10.28Aug 18, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?$10.23Aug 18, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Challenge" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?$10.20Aug 18, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?$25.36Aug 18, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?$51.61Aug 18, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?$6.46Aug 17, 13:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during remarks in New York?$51.42Aug 14, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?$26.02Aug 14, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during remarks in New York?$25.53Aug 14, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?$25.88Aug 13, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYJack Lowden announced as next James Bond?$52.13Aug 13, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$51.26Aug 13, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?$20.52Aug 13, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?$10.16Aug 12, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?$32.94Aug 7, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?$51.46Aug 4, 18:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $32.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 13:35 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 17:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.