Authorized-Sidewalk
0xe90b54257c64d8fde41701d8cb65383e95827afa
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
81
Open notional
$11.85
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-80.35
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- NO
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?
30 shares @ 30.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.70
$2.70
- NO
Will GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.15
$-0.45
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
21448 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-128.97
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
2100 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-94.00
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
1667 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on March 9?
1500 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-6.98
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on March 10?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner$27.13Jul 9, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner$22.30Jul 9, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner$5.57Jul 9, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner$3.72Jul 8, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner$1.11Jul 8, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner$0.17Jul 8, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner$18.60Jul 8, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner$11.31Jul 8, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026?$0.60Jul 3, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYStandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?$4.28Jun 29, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?$1.50Jun 29, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYStandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?$3.21Jun 29, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$37.00Jun 4, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$33.47May 31, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$19.98May 31, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 24?$10.00May 27, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$9.00May 22, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$18.00May 22, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$20.00May 16, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.00May 14, 13:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $9.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 01:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 10:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.