Smug-Advantage
0xe90f25a30a4b8a6165df6e86f0ac2360498ad3b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$13.28
Total PnL
$-2.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by May 31?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.29
$0.02
- NO
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.83
$0.01
- NO
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.51
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on May 1, 2026?
2 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$1.50
$0.02
- NO
US bank failure by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.35
$0.01
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.34
$0.00
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$1.26
$0.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.13
$0.01
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.06
$0.00
- YES
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAnthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by May 31?$2.27Jun 1, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$1.34May 9, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS bank failure by April 30?$1.34Apr 30, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?$1.82Apr 29, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on May 1, 2026?$1.48Apr 29, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.26Apr 15, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?$1.51Mar 30, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.12Mar 29, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?$1.06Dec 30, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.10Dec 26, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.16Dec 26, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.26Dec 26, 10:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.19Dec 26, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.27Dec 26, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.46Dec 26, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.69Dec 24, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$9.87Dec 24, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.56Dec 24, 07:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.19Dec 24, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.37Dec 24, 06:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $4.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 03:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 02:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.