Internal-Cutting
0xe91003a4ed68abd196981a2890b047a7132e2dae
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$264.53
Total PnL
$-159.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
222 shares @ 45.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp May 30, 2027$98.89
$-1.11
- YES
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
792 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp May 30, 2027$91.04
$-3.96
- YES
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
395 shares @ 22.8¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$69.07
$-20.93
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
182 shares @ 16.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$3.36
$-25.64
- YES
World Cup: Largest Margin of Victory Record Broken?
465 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.16
$-23.63
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
88 shares @ 3.4¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.01
$-1.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 23?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
123 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
98 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-50.00
- CONOR MCGREGOR
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
67 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$3.00Jul 13, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYGianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?$93.47Jul 13, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$99.18Jul 12, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?$102.75Jul 12, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$20.70Jul 11, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$250.28Jul 10, 00:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-09?$71.38Jul 9, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$44.05Jul 9, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$153.85Jul 5, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.28Jun 27, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$29.73Jun 24, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup: Largest Margin of Victory Record Broken?$25.49Jun 24, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$50.73Jun 24, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$101.05Jun 24, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cristiano Ronaldo score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$480.77Jun 24, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 23?$2.14Jun 22, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$168.67Jun 22, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cristiano Ronaldo score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$253.60Jun 22, 19:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $71.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 19:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 13:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.