Scholarly-Curd
0xe9354d07f8dade79f8fd9c0b64c15d98d2423991
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
127
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$16.41
Win rate
79%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 127- NO
Will Solana reach $160 in May?
48 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$48.00
$-0.14
- NO
Will Solana dip to $85 on May 8?
37 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$37.12
$-0.10
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
52 shares @ 85.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$34.58
$-9.60
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
143 shares @ 21.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$32.14
$2.14
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
143 shares @ 21.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$30.71
$0.71
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
30 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$30.05
$0.05
- NO
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
32 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.92
$1.12
- YES
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
32 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$29.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
30 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.57
$0.09
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
36 shares @ 84.5¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$29.47
$-0.53
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. 76ers$10.602m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$10.0113m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$10.0114m ago
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$50.0036m ago
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$63.0638m ago
- MAKER_REBATE$10.1956m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$15.011h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$15.011h ago
- YIELD$0.002h ago
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$6.412h ago
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 15?$33.062h ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 31?$31.392h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?$33.002h ago
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$33.582h ago
- TRADESELLEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$35.742h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?$28.562h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$15.653h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$10.123h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6PM ET$53.473h ago
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $95 on May 8?$10.254h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $15.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 8h ago
- Last active
- 2m ago
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
