Grim-Nickname
0xe9561deaae2bde8d4a16574f873449f4ce7ac4e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
52
Open notional
$3.0K
Total PnL
$-5.7K
Realised
$-10.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
1778 shares @ 56.3¢·now 45.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$800.31
$-201.02
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
600 shares @ 58.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$459.00
$111.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
600 shares @ 72.8¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$429.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
1437 shares @ 52.2¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$380.92
$-369.07
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
900 shares @ 34.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$292.50
$-13.50
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 61.6¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$292.50
$-15.50
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
800 shares @ 15.4¢·now 14.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$113.92
$-9.28
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
900 shares @ 11.1¢·now 12.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$112.95
$13.05
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
800 shares @ 8.7¢·now 11.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$94.00
$24.40
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
700 shares @ 8.6¢·now 5.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$41.65
$-18.55
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.22Jun 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jun 20, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jun 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jun 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jun 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jun 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.14Jun 4, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?$29.25Jun 3, 06:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $117.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.