Knowing-Camp
0xe95cb8f98a9ec613573a966b1197d79f69be3f5f
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$107.92
Total PnL
$-11.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
107 shares @ 0.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$106.55
$105.55
- YES
Human moon landing in 2026?
59 shares @ 5.1¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.36
$-1.64
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 18?
10005 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-12.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 18?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on January 18?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 18?
2000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, 2026?
604 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)
501 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
395 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?$0.00Feb 3, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "EU" or "European Union" during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?$0.00Feb 3, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Leader" or "Leadership" during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?$0.00Feb 3, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "NATO" during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?$0.00Feb 3, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Tariff" during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?$0.00Feb 3, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 7+ times during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?$0.00Feb 3, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?$0.00Feb 3, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?$5.00Jan 18, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 18?$5.00Jan 18, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 18?$3.00Jan 18, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EA say "Player Engagement" during earnings call?$3.00Jan 18, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)$8.00Jan 18, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have exactly 10 launches in January?$5.00Jan 18, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$5.00Jan 18, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$4.00Jan 18, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Jan 18, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.00Jan 18, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech?$5.00Jan 18, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?$5.00Jan 18, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 18, 02:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $4.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 23:00 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 3, 11:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.